180
WTPZ24 KNHC 210840
TCMEP4
HURRICANE WILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP242018
0900 UTC SUN OCT 21 2018
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS ALONG THE COASTS OF WEST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN MAINLAND
MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF WILLA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 106.5W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 106.5W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 106.3W
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 16.8N 107.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 17.6N 107.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 18.7N 107.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 19.8N 107.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 22.3N 106.1W...NR WEST-CNTRL COAST OF MEXICO
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 80SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 26.9N 101.2W...INLAND OVER NCNTRL MEXICO
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED INLAND
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 106.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
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