741
WTPZ23 KNHC 202031
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM VICENTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP232018
2100 UTC SAT OCT 20 2018
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN AND SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF VICENTE.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 94.3W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 15SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 94.3W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 94.0W
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 14.0N 95.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 13.7N 97.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 14.0N 99.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 15.0N 101.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 17.5N 103.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 94.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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