961
WTPZ21 KNHC 030254
TCMEP1
HURRICANE VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212014
0300 UTC MON NOV 03 2014
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 109.6W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 5 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 109.6W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 109.3W
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 15.2N 110.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 17.1N 110.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 18.7N 110.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.4N 108.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.5N 107.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 109.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
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