Image Department Meteorology
Meteorology_Home Weather_Server News/Seminars
People
Research
Academics Application Contact_Us

Hawaiian_Weather
US_Mainland_Weather
Tropical_Weather
Satellite_Imagery
Radar_Imagery
Marine
Numerical_Models
LAPS
Forecasts
Observations
Archive
Links Disclaimer
Space
SOEST_Home
University_of_Hawaii_Home

 961 
 WTPZ21 KNHC 030254
 TCMEP1
 
 HURRICANE VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
 0300 UTC MON NOV 03 2014
 
 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 109.6W AT 03/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   5 NM
 
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
 EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
 64 KT....... 20NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
 50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 34 KT.......100NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 109.6W AT 03/0300Z
 AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 109.3W
 
 FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 15.2N 110.6W
 MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 17.1N 110.8W
 MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
 34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 18.7N 110.1W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
 34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.4N 108.8W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.5N 107.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 109.6W
 
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
 
 $$
 FORECASTER LANDSEA
 
 
 
Return to the Tropical Systems Page for VANCE

Back to main Tropical Weather page




This page is maintained voluntarily by the MKWC and the UHMET faculty, staff, and students.
It was last modified on: Thu, Jul 23 2020 - 2003 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman