Image Department Meteorology
Meteorology_Home Weather_Server News/Seminars
People
Research
Academics Application Contact_Us

Hawaiian_Weather
US_Mainland_Weather
Tropical_Weather
Satellite_Imagery
Radar_Imagery
Marine
Numerical_Models
LAPS
Forecasts
Observations
Archive
Links Disclaimer
Space
SOEST_Home
University_of_Hawaii_Home

 162 
 WTPZ21 KNHC 311437
 TCMEP1
 
 TROPICAL STORM VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
 1500 UTC FRI OCT 31 2014
 
 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 100.8W AT 31/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OR 195 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
 34 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 100.8W AT 31/1500Z
 AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 100.5W
 
 FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z  9.7N 101.7W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z  9.6N 103.2W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 10.2N 105.2W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 11.4N 107.0W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 34 KT...100NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 15.0N 109.3W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.
 
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 19.3N 107.9W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 23.5N 105.0W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.1N 100.8W
 
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z
 
 $$
 FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
 
Return to the Tropical Systems Page for VANCE

Back to main Tropical Weather page




This page is maintained voluntarily by the MKWC and the UHMET faculty, staff, and students.
It was last modified on: , 17 2014 - 1841 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman