Image Department Meteorology
Meteorology_Home Weather_Server News/Seminars
People
Research
Academics Application Contact_Us

Hawaiian_Weather
US_Mainland_Weather
Tropical_Weather
Satellite_Imagery
Radar_Imagery
Marine
Numerical_Models
LAPS
Forecasts
Observations
Archive
Links Disclaimer
Space
SOEST_Home
University_of_Hawaii_Home

 899 
 WTPZ21 KNHC 301446
 TCMEP1
 
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
 1500 UTC THU OCT 30 2014
 
 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 100.9W AT 30/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 100.9W AT 30/1500Z
 AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 100.7W
 
 FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 11.4N 101.5W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 10.7N 102.4W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 10.4N 103.7W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 10.4N 105.3W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 11.9N 108.7W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 15.5N 110.0W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 20.0N 108.0W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.5N 100.9W
 
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z
 
 $$
 FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
 
Return to the Tropical Systems Page for VANCE

Back to main Tropical Weather page




This page is maintained voluntarily by the MKWC and the UHMET faculty, staff, and students.
It was last modified on: Thu, Jul 23 2020 - 2003 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman