193
WTPZ24 KNHC 280852
TCMEP4
HURRICANE ULIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192016
0900 UTC WED SEP 28 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 139.0W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 10SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 30NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 139.0W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 139.1W
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 14.7N 138.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 15.6N 139.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 16.4N 139.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 17.0N 140.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.7N 143.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 17.7N 147.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 139.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
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