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 103 
 WTPA42 PHFO 301431
 TCDCP2
 
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ULIKA DISCUSSION NUMBER  17
 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP192016
 500 AM HST FRI SEP 30 2016
  
 With a jet stream over the cyclone, very strong vertical wind shear
 is creating a hostile environment. A couple of cumulonimbus clouds
 have formed north of the cyclone in the past several hours, but deep
 organized convection has been absent since late Wednesday night. The
 low-level circulation center has been difficult to locate on either
 GOES-15 or microwave data. Ulika is now deemed to be a post-tropical
 remnant low. I have kept the initial intensity at 30 kt for this
 advisory. The remnant low will be steered by a ridge to the
 northwest in the lower troposphere until it opens up into a trough
 by Saturday evening.
  
 This will be the last discussion issued by the Central Pacific
 Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on the
 Post-Tropical Cyclone please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the
 National Weather Service under AWIPS header HFOHSFNP, WMO header
 FZPN40 PHFO, and on the web at
 http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/pages/HSFNP.php.
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INIT  30/1500Z 18.2N 142.6W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  12H  01/0000Z 18.4N 144.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  24H  01/1200Z 18.5N 146.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  36H  02/0000Z...DISSIPATED
  
 $$
 Forecaster Donaldson
 
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