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 334 
 WTNT42 KNHC 090303
 TCDAT2
 SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-TWO DISCUSSION NUMBER   3...CORRECTED
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
 11 PM EDT SAT OCT 08 2005
 
 ...CORRECTED FOR SUBTROPICAL NOT TROPICAL...AND LAST ADVISORY...
  
 SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS EVENING INDICATES THAT THE DEPRESSION IS NO
 LONGER PRODUCING ANY DEEP CONVECTION... AND WHAT CONVECTION THERE
 HAD BEEN EARLIER THIS EVENING WAS NOT AT ALL ORGANIZED ABOUT THE
 LOW LEVEL CENTER... WHICH IS NOW COMPLETELY EXPOSED. THEREFORE...
 THE SYSTEM NO LONGER HAS THE CHARACTERISTICS OF EITHER A
 SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE...  AND SO THIS WILL BE THE LAST
 ADVISORY. THE DEMISE OF THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN BROUGHT ON BY
 STRONG EASTERLY SHEAR ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE LARGE
 MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO ITS SOUTH. THIS SHEAR IS NOT FORECAST TO
 ABATE ANY TIME SOON... SO REGENERATION APPEARS UNLIKELY... BUT THE
 REMANT LOW WILL BE MONITORED FOR THE SEEMINGLY REMOTE POSSIBILITY
 OF DEVELOPING NEW CONVECTION.
 
 THE TRACK FORECAST ASSUMES THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN A SHALLOW REMNANT
 LOW AND ANTICIPATES A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION... IN THE
 LOW LEVEL FLOW AROUND THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF HIGH PRESSURE
 OVER THE NORTH-CENTRAL ATLANTIC... FOR THE NEXT TWO TO THREE DAYS
 UNTIL THE LOW DISSIPATES.
 
 ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS
 FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
 HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
 
  
 FORECASTER KNABB
  
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INITIAL      09/0300Z 29.2N  62.6W    25 KT...DISSIPATING
  12HR VT     09/1200Z 29.8N  65.0W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
  24HR VT     10/0000Z 30.6N  67.4W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
  36HR VT     10/1200Z 31.3N  69.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
  48HR VT     11/0000Z 31.8N  71.3W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
  72HR VT     12/0000Z 32.5N  73.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
  
  
 $$
 
 
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