031 
 WTNT41 KNHC 062343
 TCDAT1
 HURRICANE TOMAS SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER  36
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL212010
 800 PM AST SAT NOV 06 2010
 
 DESPITE THE SOMEWHAT RAGGED APPEARANCE OF THE SYSTEM IN INFRARED
 IMAGERY...DATA FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT
 TOMAS HAS RE-INTENSIFIED TO HURRICANE STRENGTH. THE AIRCRAFT
 MEASURED A PEAK 700-MB FLIGHT LEVEL WIND OF 79 KT EAST OF THE
 CENTER AND A MAXIMUM SFMR WIND OF 64 KT. BASED ON THESE DATA...THE
 INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET TO 70 KT FOR THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY. THE
 INTENSITY FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED UPWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS TO
 ACCOUNT FOR THE RE-INTENSIFICATION...AND THE RADII HAVE BEEN
 MODIFIED ACCORDINGLY. BEYOND 24 HOURS...THE INTENSITY FORECAST
 REMAINS THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE...AS INCREASING SHEAR AND
 DRY AIR SHOULD EVENTUALLY LEAD TO WEAKENING.
 
 RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND DATA FROM THE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT
 TOMAS IS MOVING A LITTLE TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK...AND
 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 020/13 KT. THE OFFICIAL TRACK
 FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED TO THE LEFT...OR NORTH...THROUGH 36
 HOURS TO ACCOUNT FOR THE INITIAL POSITION AND MOTION. BEYOND 36
 HOURS...THE TRACK FORECAST IS UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. 
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INITIAL      07/0000Z 25.0N  69.7W    70 KT
  12HR VT     07/0600Z 25.7N  69.3W    60 KT
  24HR VT     07/1800Z 26.0N  68.6W    50 KT
  36HR VT     08/0600Z 26.0N  67.2W    40 KT
  48HR VT     08/1800Z 26.5N  64.9W    35 KT
  72HR VT     09/1800Z 28.5N  59.5W    25 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  96HR VT     10/1800Z 31.5N  55.5W    20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 120HR VT     11/1800Z...DISSIPATED
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BRENNAN/BROWN