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 235 
 WTNT21 KNHC 311443
 TCMAT1
 HURRICANE TOMAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL212010
 1500 UTC SUN OCT 31 2010
  
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
  
 THE GOVERNMENTS OF BARBADOS...FRANCE...AND ST. LUCIA HAVE
 DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS.
  
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
  
 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  63.7W AT 31/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
 64 KT....... 35NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
 50 KT....... 55NE  25SE  20SW  50NW.
 34 KT.......150NE  45SE  45SW 120NW.
 12 FT SEAS..210NE 105SE 120SW 180NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  63.7W AT 31/1500Z
 AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  63.3W
  
 FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 14.5N  65.1W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 64 KT... 35NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 34 KT...150NE  60SE  60SW 120NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 14.9N  67.2W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 64 KT... 35NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 34 KT...150NE  60SE  60SW 120NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 15.0N  69.1W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 64 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  60NW.
 34 KT...140NE  80SE  80SW 120NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 15.0N  70.6W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 34 KT...140NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 15.0N  72.5W
 MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 34 KT...140NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 15.5N  73.5W
 MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 17.0N  73.5W
 MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N  63.7W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BROWN
  
  
 
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