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 932 
 WTPZ42 KNHC 170233
 TCDEP2
 
 Remnants Of Tara Discussion Number  11
 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP222018
 1000 PM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018
 
 Data from several recent microwave overpasses, last-light visible
 imagery, and surface observations from Mexico indicate that Tara no
 longer has a well-defined surface center. The mid-level center of
 the former tropical cyclone appeared to move inland earlier this
 evening, though it is unclear whether the surface center made it
 that far. Regardless, the high terrain of Mexico has caused the
 surface circulation to open into a trough of low pressure and
 dissipate. This is the last NHC advisory on Tara. Although the
 remnant trough will likely produce intermittent convection near the
 coast of Mexico tonight, continued close proximity to land should
 prevent it from reorganizing into a tropical cyclone, and all of the
 global models indicate that the remnants will gradual weaken over
 the next 12 hours or so.
 
 Although Tara is no longer a tropical depression, its remnants
 could still cause heavy rainfall along portions of the coast of
 southwestern Mexico overnight. Life-threatening flash flooding and
 mudslides will be possible in mountainous areas.
 
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
 INIT  17/0300Z 20.0N 105.5W   30 KT  35 MPH...REMNANTS OF TARA
  12H  17/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
 $$
 Forecaster Zelinsky
 
 
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