Image Department Meteorology
Meteorology_Home Weather_Server News/Seminars
People
Research
Academics Application Contact_Us

Hawaiian_Weather
US_Mainland_Weather
Tropical_Weather
Satellite_Imagery
Radar_Imagery
Marine
Numerical_Models
LAPS
Forecasts
Observations
Archive
Links Disclaimer
Space
SOEST_Home
University_of_Hawaii_Home

 898 
 WTNT24 KNHC 021448
 TCMAT4
 
 TROPICAL STORM HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092016
 1500 UTC FRI SEP 02 2016
 
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
 THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD FROM DUCK
 NORTH CAROLINA TO SOUTH OF FENWICK ISLAND DELAWARE...INCLUDING THE
 CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT SOUTHWARD AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC
 FROM COBB ISLAND EASTWARD.
 
 THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD FROM SANDY
 HOOK NEW JERSEY TO WEST OF WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING LONG
 ISLAND AND NEW YORK CITY.
 
 THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE GULF COAST
 OF FLORIDA AND FOR THE U.S. EAST COAST SOUTH OF NASSAU SOUND
 FLORIDA.
 
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * NASSAU SOUND TO SOUTH OF FENWICK ISLAND
 * PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
 * CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT SOUTHWARD
 * TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND EASTWARD
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * FENWICK ISLAND TO WEST OF WATCH HILL
 * SOUTHERN DELAWARE BAY
 
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE UNITED STATES NORTHEAST COAST SHOULD
 MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N  82.0W AT 02/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
 34 KT.......120NE 150SE  30SW  30NW.
 12 FT SEAS..  0NE   0SE 210SW   0NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N  82.0W AT 02/1500Z
 AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.4N  82.8W
 
 FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 33.5N  79.7W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT...180NE 170SE  40SW  30NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 35.4N  76.3W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT...180NE 190SE  90SW  60NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 36.7N  73.9W...OVER WATER
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 90NE   0SE  80SW  80NW.
 34 KT...210NE 190SE 140SW 160NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 37.5N  72.6W...POST-TROPICAL
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 80NE  40SE  80SW  90NW.
 34 KT...210NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 38.1N  72.6W...POST-TROPICAL
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
 34 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
 
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 38.8N  71.9W...POST-TROPICAL
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 39.3N  71.5W...POST-TROPICAL
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.9N  82.0W
 
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
 $$
 FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
 
Return to the Tropical Systems Page for SPECIAL

Back to main Tropical Weather page




This page is maintained voluntarily by the MKWC and the UHMET faculty, staff, and students.
It was last modified on: Thu, Jul 23 2020 - 2003 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman