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 867 
 WTPZ21 KNHC 171427
 TCMEP1
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162005
 1500Z MON OCT 17 2005
  
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 106.2W AT 17/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   7 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 106.2W AT 17/1500Z
 AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 105.8W
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 12.1N 107.3W
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 12.0N 108.9W
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 12.0N 110.5W
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 12.0N 112.1W...DISSIPATING
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 12.0N 115.5W...REMNANT LOW
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 12.0N 119.0W...REMNANT LOW
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 106.2W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z
  
 FORECASTER PASCH
  
 $$
 
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