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 628 
 WTPZ21 KNHC 170240
 TCMEP1
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162005
 0300Z MON OCT 17 2005
  
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 104.8W AT 17/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 104.8W AT 17/0300Z
 AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 104.4W
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 12.3N 105.7W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 30NE  30SE  40SW  40NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 12.2N 107.0W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 11.9N 108.3W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 11.5N 109.8W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 11.0N 113.1W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 11.5N 116.5W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 12.5N 119.5W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N 104.8W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
  
 FORECASTER ROBERTS/KNABB
  
  
 $$
 
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