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 994 
 WTPZ21 KNHC 151425
 TCMEP1
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162005
 1500Z SAT OCT 15 2005
  
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 101.5W AT 15/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 101.5W AT 15/1500Z
 AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 101.5W
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 11.0N 101.5W
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 11.0N 102.0W
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 11.0N 103.0W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 11.0N 104.0W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 11.0N 105.5W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 11.0N 107.0W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 11.0N 108.5W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.0N 101.5W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
  
 FORECASTER AVILA
  
  
 $$
 
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