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 130 
 WTPZ21 KNHC 150244
 TCMEP1
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162005
 0300Z SAT OCT 15 2005
  
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 101.2W AT 15/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT STATIONARY
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 101.2W AT 15/0300Z
 AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 101.2W
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 11.0N 101.9W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 11.0N 102.6W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 11.0N 103.2W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 11.0N 103.9W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 11.0N 105.3W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 11.0N 106.6W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 11.0N 108.0W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.0N 101.2W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
  
 FORECASTER STEWART
  
  
 $$
 
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