177 
 WTPZ24 KNHC 062044
 TCMEP4
 
 TROPICAL STORM SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192014
 2100 UTC MON OCT 06 2014
 
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
 WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO
 PUNTA EUGENIA.
 
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO
 24 HOURS.
 
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 117.4W AT 06/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
 34 KT.......100NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 117.4W AT 06/2100Z
 AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 117.4W
 
 FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 26.8N 117.0W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 28.0N 116.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
 FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 29.0N 115.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
 FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 30.2N 114.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
 FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 32.0N 112.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.
 
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.8N 117.4W
 
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
 $$
 FORECASTER PASCH