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 948 
 WTNT23 KNHC 260255
 TCMAT3
  
 HURRICANE SANDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182012
 0300 UTC FRI OCT 26 2012
  
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
  
 THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR
 THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
  
 THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS FOR THE
 SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.
  
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
  
 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
 * FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM OCEAN REEF TO FLAGLER BEACH
 * LAKE OKEECHOBEE
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH
 * FLORIDA UPPER KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY
 * FLORIDA BAY
  
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD
 MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SANDY.  WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE
 REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
  
 A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
 SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
 PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
  
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  76.1W AT 26/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT  11 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  968 MB
 EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
 64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 34 KT.......200NE 180SE  70SW 200NW.
 12 FT SEAS..420NE 360SE 120SW 300NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  76.1W AT 26/0300Z
 AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8N  75.8W
  
 FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 26.6N  76.8W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 34 KT...200NE 200SE 100SW 200NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 27.6N  77.4W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 34 KT...220NE 200SE 140SW 220NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 28.9N  76.9W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 64 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 80NE  80SE 100SW 120NW.
 34 KT...230NE 200SE 180SW 230NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 30.4N  75.4W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 50 KT...120NE 120SE 150SW 150NW.
 34 KT...300NE 270SE 230SW 270NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 34.0N  72.5W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 50 KT...120NE 150SE 180SW 180NW.
 34 KT...360NE 330SE 280SW 330NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 37.5N  72.5W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 40.5N  76.5W...POST-TROPICAL
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N  76.1W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BEVEN
  
  
 
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