674
WTPZ25 KNHC 282053
TCMEP5
HURRICANE ROSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202018
2100 UTC FRI SEP 28 2018
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.8W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......110NE 160SE 80SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.8W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 117.7W
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.6N 118.3W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 160SE 80SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 20.3N 118.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 22.1N 118.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.0N 118.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 27.7N 116.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 32.3N 114.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 117.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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