608
WTPZ21 KNHC 200239
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212015
0300 UTC FRI NOV 20 2015
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 108.1W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 30SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 108.1W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 107.7W
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.9N 109.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.5N 111.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.2N 112.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.8N 113.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 21.6N 115.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 108.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
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