266
WTPZ22 KNHC 212035
TCMEP2
HURRICANE RAYMOND FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172013
2100 UTC MON OCT 21 2013
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TECPAN DE GALEANA TO LAZARO CARDENAS
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO TECPAN DE GALEANA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO TECPAN DE GALEANA
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 102.2W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 949 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 75SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 102.2W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 102.2W
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 16.4N 102.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 16.3N 102.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 16.3N 102.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.2N 103.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.8N 105.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 15.5N 108.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 15.5N 111.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 102.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
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