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 088 
 WTPZ21 KNHC 160230
 TCMEP1
  
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162013
 0300 UTC WED OCT 16 2013
  
 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
  
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.9W AT 16/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.9W AT 16/0300Z
 AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 117.6W
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.1N 119.0W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 18.6N 120.3W
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 19.0N 121.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.8N 122.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.0N 124.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 117.9W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BRENNAN
  
  
 
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