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 946 
 WTPZ21 KNHC 150235
 TCMEP1
  
 TROPICAL STORM PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162013
 0300 UTC TUE OCT 15 2013
  
 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 115.8W AT 15/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   7 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
 34 KT.......  0NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 115.8W AT 15/0300Z
 AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 115.8W
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 16.9N 116.5W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT...  0NE  50SE  50SW  30NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 17.6N 117.7W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 20NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.4N 119.0W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.2N 120.2W
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 19.5N 122.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 115.8W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
  
  
 
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