142 
 WTPZ22 KNHC 210231
 TCMEP2
  
 TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
 0300 UTC SUN SEP 21 2014
  
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
  
 NONE.
  
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 109.9W AT 21/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   6 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
 34 KT....... 50NE  70SE  60SW  30NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 109.9W AT 21/0300Z
 AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 109.6W
  
 FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 22.1N 110.9W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.5N 112.3W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.6N 113.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 22.3N 114.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 21.5N 115.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 20.0N 115.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N 109.9W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BRENNAN