600
WTNT22 KNHC 012031
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
2100 UTC SAT OCT 01 2011
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 49.1W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 45SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 120SE 90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 49.1W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 48.6W
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 25.6N 50.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 45SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 25.9N 52.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 45SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 25.8N 54.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 25.7N 57.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 26.5N 61.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 28.5N 61.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 32.0N 57.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.2N 49.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
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