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 661 
 WTPZ43 KNHC 120232
 TCDEP3
 
 Tropical Depression Paul Discussion Number  15
 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP182018
 800 PM PDT Tue Sep 11 2018
 
 Active deep convection associated with Paul appears to have ceased a
 little earlier today, shortly after 1900 UTC. At least one more
 advisory will be issued just in case Paul makes an unexpected
 comeback, but this seems unlikely due to the 24 deg C SSTs beneath
 the cyclone. With no convection to sustain it, Paul will likely
 gradually spin down over the next few days until dissipating
 entirely by the weekend. Paul is now moving west with an initial
 motion of 275/10 kt. Now that Paul's circulation has become very
 shallow, it should continue to be steered generally westward to
 west-southwestward by the low-level tradewind flow until dissipation
 occurs in a few days.
 
 
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
 INIT  12/0300Z 22.4N 126.5W   30 KT  35 MPH
  12H  12/1200Z 22.6N 128.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  24H  13/0000Z 22.7N 129.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  36H  13/1200Z 22.8N 130.8W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  48H  14/0000Z 22.7N 131.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  72H  15/0000Z 22.3N 132.4W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  96H  16/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
 $$
 Forecaster Zelinsky
 
 
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