748 
 WTNT41 KNHC 130833
 TCDAT1
  
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION PATTY DISCUSSION NUMBER   8
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162012
 500 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012
  
 AN ASCAT PASS SEVERAL HOURS AGO SHOWED THE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED
 WITH PATTY WITH MAX WINDS OF 30 KNOTS. SINCE THAT TIME...NIGHT-
 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE CIRCULATION IS BECOMING
 ELONGATED AND LOSING ORGANIZATION. THE CONVECTION IS RAPIDLY MOVING
 AWAY FROM THE CENTER. PATTY IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG
 SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR AND MOST LIKELY...THE CYCLONE WILL DEGENERATE
 INTO A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY.
 
 PATTY HAS BEEN MEANDERING FOR THE PAST DAY OR SO. HOWEVER...THE
 CYCLONE OR ITS REMANTS SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST
 STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE
 HIGH WHICH IS FOLLOWING A COLD FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC. 
  
   
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INIT  13/0900Z 25.5N  71.9W   30 KT  35 MPH
  12H  13/1800Z 25.4N  72.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  24H  14/0600Z 24.0N  74.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  36H  14/1800Z...DISSIPATED
  
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 FORECASTER AVILA