936 
 WTNT21 KNHC 212037
 TCMAT1
 
 TROPICAL STORM OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162016
 2100 UTC MON NOV 21 2016
 
 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 INTERESTS IN NICARAGUA...COSTA RICA...AND THE ISLANDS OF SAN
 ANDRES AND PROVIDENCIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OTTO. A
 TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR SAN ANDRES TONIGHT
 OR EARLY TUESDAY.
 
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N  79.2W AT 21/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   0 KT
 
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
 34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N  79.2W AT 21/2100Z
 AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N  79.2W
 
 FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 11.1N  79.4W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
 34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 11.1N  79.8W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
 34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 11.1N  80.4W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
 34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 11.1N  81.1W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 11.2N  83.1W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 11.2N  86.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 11.2N  89.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N  79.2W
 
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
 
 $$
 FORECASTER PASCH