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 256 
 WTPZ25 KNHC 142034
 TCMEP5
  
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152017
 2100 UTC THU SEP 14 2017
  
 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
  
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 123.3W AT 14/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   4 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 123.3W AT 14/2100Z
 AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 123.2W
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 15.9N 124.1W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 15.9N 124.9W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 15.7N 125.4W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 15.6N 125.9W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 16.0N 125.9W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 16.7N 125.7W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 17.3N 126.0W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 123.3W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BROWN
  
  
 
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