581 
 WTPZ25 KNHC 030835
 TCMEP5
 TROPICAL STORM OTIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152005
 0900Z MON OCT 03 2005
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF
 BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM AGUA BLANCA TO BAHIA MAGDALENA.
  
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE NEAR BOTH COASTS OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
 BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
 OTIS.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 112.8W AT 03/0900Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   6 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
 34 KT....... 50NE   0SE  50SW  75NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 112.8W AT 03/0900Z
 AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 112.6W
  
 FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 24.7N 113.2W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 25.5N 113.7W
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 26.4N 114.3W...DISSIPATING
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 27.0N 114.7W...REMNANT LOW
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 27.6N 115.8W...REMNANT LOW
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 28.0N 117.0W...REMNANT LOW
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z...DISSIPATED
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.0N 112.8W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z
  
 FORECASTER ROBERTS/KNABB
  
  
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