823
WTPZ21 KNHC 110834
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM ORLENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162016
0900 UTC SUN SEP 11 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 115.9W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 115.9W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 115.4W
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 15.8N 117.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 16.8N 119.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 17.6N 120.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 18.2N 120.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 19.1N 120.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 19.1N 123.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 18.8N 127.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 115.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
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