394 
 WTNT21 KNHC 020834
 TCMAT1
  
 HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  39
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
 0900 UTC SUN OCT 02 2011
  
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
  
 NONE
  
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.2N  61.8W AT 02/0900Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT  25 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
 64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
 50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  40SW  35NW.
 34 KT.......160NE 160SE  80SW  90NW.
 12 FT SEAS..240NE 360SE 270SW 180NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.2N  61.8W AT 02/0900Z
 AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.0N  62.1W
  
 FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 39.9N  60.2W
 MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 45NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT...180NE 180SE  80SW  80NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 44.4N  56.4W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 45NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
 34 KT...180NE 180SE  80SW  80NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 47.9N  48.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT...  0NE  60SE  45SW   0NW.
 34 KT... 60NE 180SE  60SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 50.5N  39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT...  0NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
 34 KT...  0NE 240SE 240SW   0NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 56.0N  17.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT...  0NE 400SE 400SW   0NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.2N  61.8W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER STEWART
  
  
 
 
 526 
 WTNT22 KNHC 020834
 TCMAT2
  
 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172011
 0900 UTC SUN OCT 02 2011
  
 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N  50.8W AT 02/0900Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   9 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
 50 KT....... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
 34 KT....... 90NE  75SE  45SW  90NW.
 12 FT SEAS..330NE 150SE  90SW 240NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N  50.8W AT 02/0900Z
 AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.5N  50.3W
  
 FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 25.8N  52.4W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  75SE  45SW  90NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 25.7N  54.5W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  75SE  45SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 25.6N  56.7W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 25.6N  58.9W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 26.5N  61.4W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  25SE   0SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 28.5N  61.0W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 32.0N  56.5W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.6N  50.8W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER CANGIALOSI