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 974 
 WTPA42 PHFO 050235
 TCDCP2
 
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER   6
 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
 5 PM HST THU AUG 04 2005
  
 TD ONE-C HAD ONE LAST BURST OF CONVECTION EARLIER TODAY...BUT THAT 
 HAS FADED...AND IN THE LAST HOUR OR SO A LOW LEVEL CLOUD SWIRL HAS 
 EMERGED FROM BENEATH THE HIGH CLOUD DEBRIS. GIVEN THE LACK OF 
 CONVECTION...HFO...SAB AND JTWC WERE ALL NOT ABLE TO OBTAIN FIX 
 ESTIMATES...MEANING THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY BELOW 25 KT INTENSITY. 
 VISIBLE IMAGERY LOOPS INDICATE THAT THERE IS NO LONGER ANY WESTERLY 
 WINDS TO THE SOUTH OF THE TD ONE-C...MEANING THAT IT HAS DEGENERATED 
 INTO JUST AN OPEN WAVE. AM GOING WITH A 25KT INTENSITY TO 
 START...BUT THAT IS LIKELY QUITE GENEROUS. TD ONE-C IS REALLY 
 NOTHING MORE THAN JUST A LOW LEVEL SWIRL. 
 
 DESPITE SUPPORTIVE UPPER LEVELS WITH NO SIGNIFICANT SHEAR...IT LOOKS 
 LIKE SSTS WERE JUST A LITTLE TOO COOL...SO CONVECTION NEVER REALLY 
 FIRED LAST NITE AND THIS MORNINGS BURST WAS A LITTLE TOO LATE. ALSO 
 LIKELY PLAYING A ROLE IN THE DEMISE OF TD ONE-C WAS THE CONVECTION 
 SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM NEAR 10N 140W WHICH POSSIBLY CUT OFF INFLOW 
 OF HIGH ENERGY AIR INTO TD ONE-C. ON A SIDE NOTE...WE ARE NOT 
 CURRENTLY ANTICIPATING ANY DEVELOPMENT FROM THAT CONVECTION IN THE 
 NEAR FUTURE. 
 
 THE REMNANTS OF TD ONE-C WILL BE MONITORED IN THE UNLIKELY EVENT IT 
 STRENGTHENS. BARRING THAT POSSIBILITY...THIS WILL BE THE FINAL 
 BULLETIN ON THIS SYSTEM. 
  
 FORECASTER NASH
  
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INITIAL      05/0300Z 14.5N 145.6W    25 KT...DISSIPATING
  12HR VT     05/1200Z 14.4N 147.4W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
  24HR VT     06/0000Z 14.4N 149.7W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
  36HR VT     06/1200Z 14.4N 152.4W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
  48HR VT     07/0000Z...DISSIPATED
  
  
 $$
 
 
 
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