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 617 
 WTPA42 PHFO 032140 CCB
 TCDCP2
 
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER   1...CORRECTED
 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
 1140 AM HST WED AUG 03 2005
 
 CLARIFY PATH OF ONE C IN LAST PART OF DISCUSSION
  
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C HAS FORMED FAR TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE
 ISLANDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE CONSIDERED TO BE NEAR 25
 KNOTS. ITS CLOUD STRUCTURE HAS BECOME MORE WELL DEFINED OVER THE
 PAST 24 HOURS AND IS CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE NONSHEAR WIND
 ENVIRONMENT. SST UNDER THE DEPRESSION IS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE AT 26
 DEGREES C. HOWEVER THE UPPER LEVEL WIND PATTERN BECOMES QUITE
 WESTERLY AND NORTHWESTERLY AND SHOULD PROVIDE EFFECTIVE SHEARING
 ALOFT IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. THUS WILL STRENGTHEN ONE C TO
 TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH IN 24 HOURS AND THEN WEAKEN IT OVER THE
 NEXT 24 HOURS. THE PATH SHOULD BECOME DIRECTLY TOWARD THE WEST
 AFTER INITIALLY MOVING TOWARD THE WESTNORTHWEST...A STRENGTHENING 
 LOW LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF ONE C IS RESPONSIBLE.
   
 FORECASTER MATSUDA
  
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INITIAL      03/2100Z 15.1N 141.0W    25 KT
  12HR VT     04/0600Z 15.4N 142.5W    30 KT
  24HR VT     04/1800Z 15.6N 144.5W    35 KT
  36HR VT     05/0600Z 15.8N 146.3W    35 KT
  48HR VT     05/1800Z 15.9N 147.9W    30 KT
  72HR VT     06/1800Z 16.1N 151.5W    25 KT
  96HR VT     07/1800Z 16.3N 155.5W    25 KT
 120HR VT     08/1800Z 16.4N 160.0W    20 KT
  
  
 $$
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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