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 403 
 WTPA25 PHFO 100814
 TCMCP5
  
 HURRICANE OLIVIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  39
 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP172018
 0900 UTC MON SEP 10 2018
  
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
  
 NONE.
  
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * OAHU
 * MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI... 
 LANAI...AND KAHOOLAWE
 * HAWAII COUNTY
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
 BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
 WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
 DANGEROUS.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR SOME AREAS THAT ARE 
 IN THE WATCH AREA ON MONDAY.
  
 INTERESTS ON KAUAI AND NIIHAU SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS
 OF OLIVIA.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 146.9W AT 10/0900Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
 EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
 64 KT....... 25NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
 50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  15SW  35NW.
 34 KT.......105NE  50SE  45SW  85NW.
 12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 130SW 240NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 146.9W AT 10/0900Z
 AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 146.5W
  
 FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 21.6N 148.3W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 64 KT... 25NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 40NE  20SE  15SW  35NW.
 34 KT...105NE  50SE  45SW  85NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 21.5N 150.2W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 64 KT... 25NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 40NE  20SE  15SW  35NW.
 34 KT...105NE  50SE  45SW  85NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 21.2N 152.2W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 64 KT... 25NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 40NE  20SE  15SW  35NW.
 34 KT...105NE  50SE  45SW  85NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 20.8N 154.5W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  15SE  10SW  25NW.
 34 KT...100NE  40SE  35SW  80NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 19.9N 159.3W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 90NE  35SE  30SW  70NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 19.5N 164.5W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 20.5N 169.5W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N 146.9W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER HOUSTON
  
  
 
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