Image Department Meteorology
Meteorology_Home Weather_Server News/Seminars
People
Research
Academics Application Contact_Us

Hawaiian_Weather
US_Mainland_Weather
Tropical_Weather
Satellite_Imagery
Radar_Imagery
Marine
Numerical_Models
LAPS
Forecasts
Observations
Archive
Links Disclaimer
Space
SOEST_Home
University_of_Hawaii_Home

 730 
 WTPA25 PHFO 212033
 TCMCP5
 
 HURRICANE OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP192015
 2100 UTC WED OCT 21 2015
  
 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 145.1W AT 21/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   6 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
 64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.
 12 FT SEAS..360NE 240SE 240SW 420NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 145.1W AT 21/2100Z
 AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 144.7W
  
 FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 12.9N 145.6W
 MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
 34 KT...120NE 115SE  95SW 105NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 14.0N 146.4W
 MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  55SE  45SW  55NW.
 34 KT...120NE 115SE  95SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.5N 146.9W
 MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  55NW.
 34 KT...120NE 115SE  95SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 17.0N 147.0W
 MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 34 KT...115NE 120SE  95SW  95NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 20.0N 146.3W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 110NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 22.5N 144.5W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 25.0N 142.0W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 145.1W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER DONALDSON
 
Return to the Tropical Systems Page for OLAF

Back to main Tropical Weather page




This page is maintained voluntarily by the MKWC and the UHMET faculty, staff, and students.
It was last modified on: Thu, Jul 23 2020 - 2003 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman