486 
 WTPZ25 KNHC 122033
 TCMEP5
 
 TROPICAL STORM ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
 2100 UTC FRI SEP 12 2014
 
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
 NONE.
 
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
 
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
 INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR
 THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.
 
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 104.8W AT 12/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
 PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
 50 KT.......  0NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
 34 KT....... 80NE 150SE 180SW  70NW.
 12 FT SEAS..150NE 210SE 210SW 120NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 104.8W AT 12/2100Z
 AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 104.8W
 
 FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 15.7N 105.5W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 30NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
 34 KT...120NE 170SE 180SW  80NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 16.4N 106.3W
 MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
 34 KT...150NE 180SE 180SW 120NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 17.5N 107.5W
 MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 130NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.3N 109.2W
 MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
 34 KT...190NE 190SE 150SW 120NW.
 
 FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 22.4N 112.6W
 MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 110NW.
 
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 24.0N 115.0W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 25.0N 117.0W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 104.8W
 
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z
 
 $$
 FORECASTER ROBERTS