917
WTPZ21 KNHC 090828
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162008
0900 UTC THU OCT 09 2008
INTERESTS ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 93.0W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 40SE 40SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 40SE 20SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 93.0W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 92.6W
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 13.2N 94.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 13.7N 95.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 14.2N 97.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 15.0N 98.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 16.5N 102.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 35NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 17.5N 104.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 18.5N 106.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 93.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA
918
WTPZ25 KNHC 090828
TCMEP5
HURRICANE NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152008
0900 UTC THU OCT 09 2008
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF NORBERT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 112.5W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 954 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 120SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 210SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 112.5W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 112.2W
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 18.3N 113.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 120SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 19.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 120SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 21.5N 113.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 120SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 23.5N 112.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.5N 108.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 35.0N 104.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 112.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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