241
WTPZ22 KNHC 161436
TCMEP2
HURRICANE NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172017
1500 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS A ISSUED TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM
SANTA FE TO CABO SAN LAZARO.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LOS BARRILES TO TODOS SANTOS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF TODOS SANTOS TO CABO SAN LAZARO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NORMA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 110.1W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..135NE 165SE 120SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 110.1W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 110.1W
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.7N 110.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.8N 110.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.8N 110.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 22.6N 111.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 23.5N 112.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 24.0N 113.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 24.5N 112.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 110.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
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