759
WTPZ22 KNHC 150254
TCMEP2
TROPICAL STORM NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172017
0300 UTC FRI SEP 15 2017
INTERESTS IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
NORMA.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 109.3W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 150SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 109.3W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 109.3W
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.7N 109.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.2N 109.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.7N 109.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.6N 109.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 22.7N 110.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 90SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 25.1N 110.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 27.5N 109.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 109.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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