414
WTPA24 PHFO 122046
TCMCP4
TROPICAL STORM NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP182015
2100 UTC MON OCT 12 2015
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 146.6W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 25SE 25SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 75SE 85SW 195NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 146.6W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 146.2W
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 13.3N 147.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 25SE 25SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 14.0N 149.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 25SE 15SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 14.7N 150.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 25SE 15SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 15.5N 150.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.5N 151.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 16.2N 152.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 15.5N 154.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 146.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD
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