044 
 WTNT45 KNHC 180856
 TCDAT5
 
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NICOLE DISCUSSION NUMBER  57
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
 500 AM AST TUE OCT 18 2016
 
 Nicole is finally losing its tropical cyclone characteristics as it
 merges with a frontal system over the cold waters of the North
 Atlantic.  The circulation is becoming elongated with the remaining
 deep convection in a band well to the east of the center.  The
 initial intensity is reduced to 55 kt based on a combination of
 satellite intensity estimates and earlier scatterometer data.
 The post-tropical cyclone is expected to complete extratropical
 transition in the next 12 hours, the it should continue as a
 vigorous extratropical storm through 36 hours before it is absorbed
 by another extratropical low.
 
 The initial motion is 030/27.  The cyclone should continue quickly
 north-northeastward on the east side on a deep layer trough over
 the Labrador Sea until the cyclone dissipates.
 
 The main hazard associated with the post-tropical cyclone will
 continue to be the large area of high seas.  Swells from the system
 will affect much of the North Atlantic basin during the next couple
 of days.
 
 This is the last advisory on Nicole issued by the National
 Hurricane Center.  Additional information on this system can be
 found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
 under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available
 on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.
 
 
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
 INIT  18/0900Z 47.1N  39.5W   55 KT  65 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
  12H  18/1800Z 51.7N  36.7W   60 KT  70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
  24H  19/0600Z 57.0N  35.5W   60 KT  70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
  36H  19/1800Z 62.0N  33.0W   60 KT  70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
  48H  20/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
 $$
 Forecaster Beven