629 
 WTPA21 PHFO 272054
 TCMCP1
 
 TROPICAL STORM NIALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP062015
 2100 UTC SUN SEP 27 2015
  
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
  
 NONE.
  
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
  
 NONE.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 154.5W AT 27/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 240 DEGREES AT   6 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
 34 KT....... 70NE  25SE  45SW  70NW.
 12 FT SEAS..125NE  30SE  75SW 150NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 154.5W AT 27/2100Z
 AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 154.2W
  
 FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 15.7N 155.4W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 65NE  25SE  40SW  65NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 15.4N 156.5W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 15.2N 157.7W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 15.0N 158.9W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 14.6N 161.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 13.9N 163.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 13.3N 164.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 154.5W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER POWELL