884
WTPA22 PHFO 182055
TCMCP2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP032009
2100 UTC SUN OCT 18 2009
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 8.6N 154.7W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 8.6N 154.7W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.3N 154.1W
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 9.3N 156.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 10.7N 159.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE 15SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 12.1N 162.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 25SE 20SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 13.2N 163.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 35SE 25SW 65NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 15.4N 166.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 15SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 35SW 75NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 17.4N 167.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 19.1N 169.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 8.6N 154.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON
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