951 
 WTNT25 KNHC 080250
 TCMAT5
  
 TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152011
 0300 UTC THU SEP 08 2011
  
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
  
 NONE.
  
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12
 HOURS.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  92.5W AT 08/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   2 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
 34 KT.......  0NE  90SE  75SW  60NW.
 12 FT SEAS..  0NE   0SE  90SW   0NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  92.5W AT 08/0300Z
 AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  92.6W
  
 FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 20.3N  92.2W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 30NE  90SE  75SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.5N  92.0W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 60NE  60SE  70SW  70NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 21.1N  92.2W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE  40SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 70NE  70SE  80SW  80NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 21.7N  92.8W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 23.0N  94.0W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 23.5N  95.5W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 23.5N  97.0W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N  92.5W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BEVEN