973
WTPZ24 KNHC 162034
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM MIRIAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142006
2100 UTC SAT SEP 16 2006
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 114.3W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 3 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 90SE 90SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 90SE 90SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 114.3W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 114.5W
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 18.7N 113.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 90SE 90SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 19.7N 113.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 90SE 90SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 20.9N 112.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 90SE 90SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 22.1N 112.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 90SE 90SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 23.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 90SE 90SW 30NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 25.5N 115.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 27.5N 115.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 114.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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