103 
 WTNT23 KNHC 071450
 TCMAT3
  
 HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132012
 1500 UTC FRI SEP 07 2012
  
 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  41.1W AT 07/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   3 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
 EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
 64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  41.1W AT 07/1500Z
 AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.1N  41.0W
  
 FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 31.5N  41.4W
 MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 32.0N  41.9W
 MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 32.7N  42.4W
 MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 33.3N  43.0W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 34.7N  44.8W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 39.5N  47.0W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 48.5N  46.0W...POST-TROPICAL
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.2N  41.1W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BLAKE
  
  
 
 
 189 
 WTNT22 KNHC 071450
 TCMAT2
  
 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122012
 1500 UTC FRI SEP 07 2012
  
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
  
 NONE.
  
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * BERMUDA
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 48 TO
 60 HOURS.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N  62.2W AT 07/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
 50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
 34 KT.......160NE 140SE  80SW 140NW.
 12 FT SEAS..360NE 270SE 270SW 390NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N  62.2W AT 07/1500Z
 AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.7N  62.2W
  
 FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 27.1N  62.2W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
 34 KT...160NE 140SE  80SW 140NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 28.0N  62.2W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
 34 KT...160NE 140SE  80SW 140NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 29.0N  62.2W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 34 KT...170NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 30.5N  61.9W
 MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 34 KT...190NE 180SE 130SW 150NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 33.3N  60.8W
 MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 50 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
 34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 140NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 39.0N  57.0W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 45.5N  53.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.8N  62.2W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER AVILA