307 
 WTNT24 KNHC 090235
 TCMAT4
 TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL142004
 0300Z SAT OCT 09 2004
  
 TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF
 CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST GULF COAST EARLY SATURDAY.
  
 INTERESTS THROUGHOUT THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
 PROGRESS OF MATTHEW.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  93.4W AT 09/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT   8 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
 34 KT.......150NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  93.4W AT 09/0300Z
 AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.5N  93.8W
  
 FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 25.5N  92.2W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT...150NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 26.5N  90.5W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT...150NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 27.8N  89.0W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT...125NE 100SE  40SW  40NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 29.5N  87.5W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT...125NE 100SE  40SW  40NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 33.6N  86.5W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N  93.4W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
  
 FORECASTER AVILA
  
  
 $$