611
WTPZ24 KNHC 050243
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142008
0300 UTC SUN OCT 05 2008
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 122.3W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 3 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 45SE 45SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 122.3W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 122.1W
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.0N 122.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 19.0N 123.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 0SE 0SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 19.0N 124.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 18.9N 125.4W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 18.2N 127.6W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 17.5N 129.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 122.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG/STEWART
Return to the Tropical Systems Page for MARIE
Back to main Tropical Weather page
This page is maintained voluntarily by the MKWC and the UHMET faculty, staff, and students.
It was last modified on: Thu, Jul 23 2020 - 2003 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman
|