117
WTPZ24 KNHC 272032
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142016
2100 UTC SAT AUG 27 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 139.3W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 139.3W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 139.0W
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.4N 140.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.3N 141.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.3N 143.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 19.3N 144.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 20.4N 148.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 50SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 20.5N 152.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 20.0N 157.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 139.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
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